Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.030531 0.033284 0.036002 0.038882 0.041842 0.044791 0.047946
2024-12-22 0.024660 0.028998 0.033390 0.038145 0.043127 0.048173 0.053654
2024-12-29 0.020965 0.026355 0.031927 0.038064 0.044585 0.051269 0.058601
2025-01-05 0.017902 0.024029 0.030493 0.037718 0.045489 0.053528 0.062417
2025-01-12 0.015263 0.021925 0.029096 0.037226 0.046063 0.055280 0.065540
2025-01-19 0.012401 0.019358 0.027023 0.035850 0.045553 0.055759 0.067193
2025-01-26 0.011328 0.018742 0.027043 0.036696 0.047381 0.058676 0.071377
2025-02-02 0.009927 0.017638 0.026434 0.036778 0.048314 0.060573 0.074415
2025-02-09 0.008168 0.015978 0.025103 0.035981 0.048221 0.061308 0.076150
2025-02-16 0.007159 0.015169 0.024712 0.036203 0.049215 0.063188 0.079085
2025-02-23 0.006073 0.014180 0.024055 0.036081 0.049790 0.064578 0.081456
2025-03-02 0.005030 0.013162 0.023315 0.035823 0.050181 0.065737 0.083548
2025-03-09 0.004154 0.012401 0.022979 0.036166 0.051406 0.067989 0.087033
2025-03-16 0.002887 0.010943 0.021750 0.035463 0.051468 0.068987 0.089192
2025-03-23 0.002041 0.009978 0.021083 0.035386 0.052213 0.070720 0.092132
2025-03-30 0.001258 0.008925 0.020236 0.035050 0.052625 0.072050 0.094601
2025-04-06 0.000609 0.007864 0.019308 0.034571 0.052836 0.073128 0.096762
2025-04-13 0.000058 0.006403 0.017728 0.033232 0.052006 0.073000 0.097558
2025-04-20 NaN 0.006201 0.017900 0.034055 0.053691 0.075696 0.101468
2025-04-27 NaN 0.005629 0.017498 0.034135 0.054483 0.077363 0.104219
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004674 0.016452 0.033360 0.054239 0.077833 0.105616
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004256 0.016194 0.033575 0.055156 0.079612 0.108459
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003715 0.015694 0.033456 0.055657 0.080901 0.110740